Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.752677 2.006305 2.285047 2.614336 2.993010 3.415196 3.922106
2025-08-10 1.328643 1.645201 2.022096 2.504731 3.107647 3.837655 4.791251
2025-08-17 1.027468 1.358919 1.781010 2.359672 3.135224 4.142805 5.557862
2025-08-24 0.851253 1.192366 1.653037 2.323532 3.279610 4.601614 6.581813
2025-08-31 0.715795 1.054557 1.536358 2.275761 3.389789 5.018264 7.602544
2025-09-07 0.648106 0.999797 1.524187 2.368991 3.707936 5.768215 9.217498
2025-09-14 0.579901 0.932477 1.481099 2.404707 3.937511 6.409040 10.754652
2025-09-21 0.512087 0.855050 1.409830 2.382078 4.065026 6.897676 12.108206
2025-09-28 0.444165 0.767547 1.309508 2.294852 4.067691 7.171851 13.124779
2025-10-05 0.420118 0.750783 1.324499 2.405914 4.427065 8.106642 15.460252
2025-10-12 0.398648 0.735321 1.338893 2.516118 4.797200 9.106764 18.065072
2025-10-19 0.372995 0.708680 1.329207 2.578958 5.084245 9.985759 20.561054
2025-10-26 0.343985 0.673525 1.301988 2.609824 5.324186 10.828377 23.167115
2025-11-02 0.306095 0.616450 1.225871 2.533659 5.338095 11.220310 24.892430
2025-11-09 0.267605 0.553343 1.130012 2.403800 5.220739 11.320647 25.992955
2025-11-16 0.243801 0.517528 1.085242 2.375945 5.319561 11.900781 28.285295
2025-11-23 0.221343 0.481765 1.036141 2.331788 5.375207 12.391667 30.448608
2025-11-30 0.212945 0.475528 1.049645 2.430045 5.772651 13.726912 34.911768
2025-12-07 0.200578 0.458856 1.037960 2.468158 6.032409 14.772652 38.822264
2025-12-14 0.185142 0.433255 1.002896 2.445677 6.140224 15.460849 41.912263
2025-12-21 0.166961 0.399049 0.943793 2.356435 6.066871 15.680045 43.765409
2025-12-28 0.162939 0.398444 0.964592 2.470811 6.537854 17.384926 50.096063
2026-01-04 0.158916 0.397339 0.983998 2.584222 7.023243 19.202988 57.092912